What Do We Know about Democratic Transitions? A Listsicle of 9 Judgments � Dart-Throwing Chimp

What Do We Know about Democratic Transitions? A Listsicle of 9 Judgments � Dart-Throwing Chimp: 9. The most likely outcome of a democratic transition nowadays is a competitive authoritarian regime, either because initial elections will be unfair by design or because the party that wins those elections will quickly use state resources to advantage itself in future contests. Highest confidence. Democracy is hard to produce and relatively easy to undo. Just ask the Iraqis, or the Nicaraguans, or the Hungarians, or…