https://www.nytimes.com/2026/11/13/upshot/gerrymanders-midterm-elections-republicans.html
If anything, the Republican gerrymander in Texas played an enormous role in the results. Democrats won the U.S. House vote in Texas by about six percentage points, 53 percent to 47 percent, but Republicans still won a lopsided 24-to-14 congressional majority. On a hypothetical party-blind map, like one drawn by computer simulations, Democrats almost certainly would have won a majority of Texas’ House seats — with the simulations yielding an average of nine more Democratic seats in Texas.
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Even the Democratic gerrymander in California may not ultimately move a seat. Democrats redrew that map to try to cancel out the Republican effort in Texas. But as it turns out, Democrats appear to have been able to flip all the seats that they sought to flip even on the old map.